Forum: Military Talk

Clockwise: Stephen P Cohen; Ayesha Siddiqa; Brigadier (retd) Shaukat Qadir; Husain Haqqani

Clockwise: Stephen P Cohen; Ayesha Siddiqa; Brigadier (retd) Shaukat Qadir; Husain Haqqani

At the start of the new year, reports emerged on how the Pakistan Army has changed its security doctrine, turning its face away from ominous eastern borders, looking now to disruptive western borders and deeming internal threats as being more pressing than external, read Indian, aggression. In the most obvious indication of the shift, the latest edition of the Green Book, a semi-official compendium published by the army and carrying comments and analysis by serving and retired senior officials, for the first time included a new chapter titled ‘Sub-Conventional Warfare’.

The Herald brought together security experts and defence analysts to discuss whether the shift is real or just imagined. Stephen P Cohen, researcher on South Asian political and security issues; security analyst Brigadier (retd) Shaukat Qadir; political commentator Ayesha Siddiqa and Husain Haqqani, Pakisan’s former ambassador to the US now working as a director at the Hudson Institute, Washington, took up the question in two lively sessions, discussing it among themselves and with Herald’s readers.

Herald. Do you think the military has changed its doctrine in a big way or are most reports about the change largely media hype?
Stephen P Cohen. Both India and Pakistan are rethinking military and nuclear doctrines. They are going through the exact process that Americans and the Soviets went through from 1949 to 1964. They will make mistakes but both countries are more concerned about domestic politics rather than foreign relations; the question is whether or not they can control their own bureaucracies (read the military) and, in Pakistan’s case, the extremist groups, some of which would like to precipitate a conflict.
There is a real change in the Pakistan Army’s doctrine and in fighting priorities. Is it too late? We don’t know but we do hope that the army has learnt what can be done in the real world as opposed to what they would like to do. Unlearning past clichés is difficult but must be done for Pakistan’s sake.
Brigadier (retd) Shaukat Qadir. When Chief of Army Staff General Ashfaq Pervez Kayani took over as the army chief in late 2007, he seemed to understand the need for a change. I believe that this new doctrine was completed by the end of 2008 but became public only recently.
Husain Haqqani. This appearance of change in the doctrine is a positive development though it is clearly not enough. Militarism and militancy represent a mindset bred since the earliest days after the creation of Pakistan and there is no sign that a concerted effort is underway to change that mindset. To serving and retired military officers, India is the eternal enemy and “cutting India down to size” with the help of non-state actors a viable strategy.
Ayesha Siddiqa. I don’t think there is any substantive change in the doctrine. In any case, the media story regarding the change in doctrine was planted. The military’s own intellectuals later denied [there was any] change. There is logic to the story, beginning from the fact that if the doctrine was to alter, the entire nuclear doctrine would stand on its head, as its main justification is India. Not even the establishment pursued the BBC story [which reported the change] for very long. The Green Book of 2006 had also dealt with terrorism but this time, it has been given a twist as though the military looking away from India is a bit nonsensical.

Herald. Can you explain some salient features of the new doctrine?
Qadir. The key features of the new doctrine are: devolution of authority, learning to live without a logistic support line and initiative. Essentially, it means giving local commanders on the ground more control.

Herald. Why did the military need to plant such a story?
Siddiqa. It could have been planted to denote one opinion within the army.
Haqqani. For decades, especially after the intense scrutiny following 9/11, Pakistan’s military leaders have used public relations and media as a substitute for actual policy change. Take the example of Osama bin Laden’s presence in Pakistan. Instead of ever seriously checking out that possibility, General (retd) Pervez Musharraf and his colleagues simply used media stories to suggest bin Laden was either dead or sick or in Afghanistan, as if that would solve the problem.
Psychological war tools have been deployed repeatedly in civil-military relations, in US-Pakistan relations and in dealing with internal policy critics. The story makes the US and other Western officials discuss the new doctrine instead of continuing to pile on pressure about the continued presence of non-state actors in Pakistan.

Herald. Do you think there is a realisation among the military leaders and thinkers that these non-state actors are becoming an existential threat to Pakistan?
Siddiqa. [The military leaders] are irked by non-state actors but not to a point where they would strategise about them. There is still a tendency to distinguish between the good and bad Taliban.
Haqqani. Non-state actors bother the military but it remains unwilling to recognise the need to completely shut them down. Moreover, non-state actors have generated sufficient internal strength to be able to blackmail the state occasionally. Islamist and hyper-nationalist elements within the media often supported by the General Headquarters’ psychological war operatives make it impossible for civilians to create national consensus against non-state actors.

Herald. Do you think there is a need to change Pakistan’s military doctrine? If yes, what direction should it take?
Cohen. Pakistan Army’s leaders are not fools. They are grappling with serious problems at home and an entirely new military relationship with India brought about both by the introduction of nuclear weapons and India’s acquisition of new conventional weapons. It is no longer enough to do old things more efficiently; the rules of the military’s games have changed. The army needs to rethink some of the larger strategic context — allowing trade with India to move ahead was a dramatic step in the right direction.

Siddiqa. Yes there is a need for change but for that to happen a few things must take place. I looked at the South African model which is very interesting. They identified several stakeholders in national security including military, industry, bureaucracy, general public, etc, conducted a survey on defining threat perception and used it to formulate the objectives of national security and determine the size of the armed forces. I wonder if we can do that too. Peace has to be seen as necessary for national growth. The problem is that a military doctrine that constitutes a reduced emphasis on India [is seen as] an existential threat to the army.
Haqqani. A military doctrine follows from the process of defining national interest. The society and the parliament – not the military – must define that. The army still considers itself the sole arbiter of national interest. The debate must shift from just “how do we fight the enemy?” to “who and what is the enemy?” and “what should Pakistan’s priorities be?”

Herald
. How can the process of setting the military priorities right be launched, given the fact that the current parliament has almost always failed to stand up to the military on security, strategic and foreign policy issues?
Haqqani. Civilian leadership in setting strategic priorities is still a long way off. The military’s hegemony of the realm of discussion and debate must end. Criticism of the army’s decisions is not and should not be construed as opposition to the institution of the army. The national debate on foreign policy and the way it is conducted must change before civilians can assert themselves.
The problem we have is that there are too many instruments of intimidation against those who simply seek to redefine national interest from within the government. In Pakistan, the process has been short circuited. Certain shibboleths have been created. Anyone saying we need not try to install a pro-Pakistan regime in Afghanistan but rather should become friends with whichever regime is in power [in that country] is immediately branded anti-state.
There is little room for diversity in views about the US and India. The national discourse glorifies some terrorists, insisting that they be only called militants, and those who want to oppose all terrorists are often described as foreign agents. This manner of discussion and labelling must end for genuine discussion and real civilian supremacy [to prevail]. The military has a respected place in a nation but it cannot be the only respected institution.
Siddiqa. There is no messiah kind of formula at work. It doesn’t help when the military goes around castigating anyone who questions its formula as anti-Pakistan. The parliament has to realise it must take the bull by the horn. Theoretically, no military force has voluntarily surrendered its power or allowed that debate. In Turkey, it happened because the military was under pressure to have the country considered as a candidate to join the European Union (EU). In Latin America also, this shift happened because of external intervention which gave a fillip to internal pressure.

Herald. How do we reduce the military’s power and influence over security and strategic and foreign policy issues?
Siddiqa. I have often proposed a civil-military dialogue between the serving military officials and civilians. The only condition being that the army must not try to infiltrate the civilian [participants] through its agents and the dialogue should take place with serving military officials, not retired ones, [and it should happen] out of the media’s sight.

Herald. How did Turkey and Indonesia overcome their civil-military imbalance? How can we replicate that in Pakistan?
Haqqani. Turkey took many years to overcome the civil-military imbalance. After 1983, the military created new constitution and new parties. Even then, for 20 years the military’s meddling continued. The generals used courts to disband the Refah Party. Recep Tayyip Erdogan organised the Justice and Development Party (JDP) and patiently fought every attack one by one. The major parties agreed that they will deal with one another and not cut deals with the military. It was a gradual process; something similar might yet happen in Pakistan.
In Indonesia, the military decided to let its influence be handled through retired generals in the political sphere, thereby isolating the serving officers from politics. The election of Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono as president represented the culmination of that process. This might be less of a model for Pakistan as Indonesia has a presidential system while Turkey and Pakistan have both opted for parliamentary democracy.
Siddiqa. The military in Turkey has a different relationship with its people; it has promoted nation building. Later, it was obliged by the EU to support and strengthen democracy in order for Turkey to be accepted in the union. The JDP, of course, put its act together, which helped. In Indonesia, it was mainly after the Asian financial meltdown that the military had to surrender power.

Usman Ahmad. It is often opined that unless politicians improve their performance, the military will remain dominant in political, social and economic spheres. Please comment.
Siddiqa. Underperforming politicians are a problem in a society that is turning apolitical and which has a powerful military. However, democracies in transition are weak. It will take time.

Usman Ahmad. Is there a military think tank which decides how, when, and why the military should change its doctrine?
Siddiqa. The military has a process of thinking and debating things provided there is direction from the top as well. But this doesn’t necessarily mean that the military has the capacity to change or seriously challenge existing ideas. Since the army is a powerful bureaucracy, it has little incentive to think. The control of media and academia has further strengthened its belief in what it does and says.

Musharaf Zahoor. Why should Pakistan reconsider its national security policy?
Siddiqa. Pakistan ought to reconsider its national security policy for its own benefit. We are lagging behind in most development and human resource indicators. We cannot be focused on military adventurism and [simultaneously] hope that the country gets somewhere.
Haqqani. Pakistan needs to change the doctrine of military superiority within society and state. Until that happens, any change in the military doctrine will be insufficient or ineffective in changing the country’s direction. The military has the right to give views, opinions and inputs but the nation must determine its priorities as a whole. We are falling behind in education. Our economy is underperforming. The entrenched conflicts of which Pakistan has become a part are largely responsible for this situation. Hyper-nationalist rhetoric, often encouraged by the military, must give way to rational discourse about issues and problems.
Siddiqa. Change depends on a number of things but it begins with the availability of intellectual space in a country which has now become miserably deficient. Unless we create that space we will never be able to come up with ideas or develop a consensus that benefits all. The military must understand the benefit of creating a partnership with the people and giving them ownership of national security.

— To join future live discussions, log on to herald.dawn.com

Live blog with Brigadier Saad Muhammad

Brigadier Saad Muhammad

Security analyst Saad Muhammad, who recently retired as a Brigadier from the Pakistan Army, served as Pakistan’s defence attache to Kabul between 2003 and 2006. He is a staunch advocate of peace between the Pukhtuns and non-Pukhtuns living in Afghanistan and an informed observer of the security situation in Pakistan’s tribal areas. 

On May 19, 2012, Herald asked him to hold a live blog where people could pose their questions about clashes in North Waziristan. The blog has been edited for space, clarity and grammar.

5:10    Comment from Raza Wazir. It is now an established fact that NW is home to the deadly Haqqani Network and Al Qaeda fighters who have conducted several attacks in Afghanistan. Given that why do the Pakistani media and authorities only deal with the threat of militancy when its own personnel are attacked?

5:13    Brigadier Saad Muhammad. The other militant groups that operate out of North Waziristan serve the foreign policy objectives of Pakistan. Therefore these groups are given protection by the state of Pakistan. The media is either disinterested or simply do not have access to the lawless areas

5:14    Comment from Jehanzib. Are the Pakistani security agencies implicitly for or against the tribal militants on the whole? On one hand they seem to supporting and using the Haqqanis as a tool and at the same time they are under threat from a related string of militants. Is this an intentional policy or are they just confused?

5:19    Brigadier Saad Muhammad. The army looks at the militants as good or bad Taliban. Those who focus on Afghanistan are the good ones and those who carry out attacks on Pakistani security forces or installations are the bad ones. Now particularly in the case of North Waziristan a full fledged military operation would not be able to distinguish between the good and the bad Taliban therefore it has been put on the hold till such time the Afghan end game becomes clearer

5:20    Comment from Nasi. Actually I think that our rulers do not understand what their nation is like. Why do some people support this militancy and some are against?

5:24    Brigadier Saad Muhammad. The right wing political parties have a pan Islamist agenda. The same as being professed by the Al-Qaeda and its affiliates. The slogans of America being against Islam are meant for the ignorant people of the country.

5:24    Comment From Sikandar Orakzai. There are better ways to take care of the purported “infiltration” like patrolling, mining, and fencing instead of drone terror and military operations which could only create more that would fight intruders on to their homeland. Do you agree?

5:30    Brigadier Saad Muhammad. The solution to the Afghan problem is through negotiations. While Pakistan’s problems are internal and have to be dealt with by paradigm shift in policy that means no more proxy wars. Become a welfare state than a security state. On the Afghan border there is no way you can stop movement. And also you would be violating the Durand line agreement which gives easement rights to people living within five miles of the border.

5:30    Comment From MO. Can any military operation in NW or any other part of the country be successful without the full support of the Pakistani people? Instead of it being ridiculed as something to “appease the US” by the Pakistani people? Would you say the Pakistani population is in denial and not in touch with the gravity and reality of the current situation?

5:36     Brigadier Saad Muhammad. Per se no military operation especially counter insurgency cannot succeed without popular support. Having said that it is the duty of the government to explain the reasons for any military operation and win over the hearts and minds of the people also the other facets of counter insurgency operation must also be take care of e.g. political, economic, social and spy operations. I would agree that most of our people are in a state of denial.

5:36    Comment From GTM. Is the Pakistan Army again not engaged in becoming the “spoiler” in Afghanistan, because it is obsessed by India, and by its own delusions of its place in the universe?

5:41     Brigadier Saad Muhammad. I would agree that the foreign policy objectives that we have set for ourselves are beyond the capability of our national power. Our policy is therefore flawed as we look at every issue through the Indian prism policies are based on SWOT factors i.e. strengths weaknesses opportunities and threats.

5:41    Comment From SHM. How prepared is the Afghan police to handle the security situation once the US and ISAF troops pull out from Afghanistan?

5:47     Brigadier Saad Muhammad. The afghan national security forces lack the capacity to defeat the insurgency on their own. If a foreign military force which is highly trained and backed up by force multipliers cannot cope with the objective environment, I wonder how the Afghan forces which lack air cover would be able to handle the situation on their own. Even the cost effect of maintaining these forces i.e. four billion dollars are as yet to be available. The current Afghan GDP is 10 billion dollars

5:47    Comment from Mikal. Is the area that constitutes North Waziristan and South Waziristan an area that can be controlled permanently? Is it viable for a local police presence to be established and eventually handed control of the area? And is it an area that can be governed without military involvement?

5:52     Brigadier Saad Muhammad. We have failed to evolve a policy for integration of FATA into the mainstream Pakistan. The FATA reforms committee recommendations have not been implemented because of objections by the security establishment. The integration of FATA has to be an evolutionary process keeping in view the local customs and traditions of the people.

5:52    Comment from Iftekhar. How is Karachi going to be affected by NW?

5:57    Brigadier Saad Muhammad. Karachi is a different ball game. Having said that it is affected by the lawlessness in FATA becauseKarachi has a large Pushtun population and also the displaced persons tend to migrate to Karachi for obvious reasons.Karachi is also an area from where the terrorists can obtain funding through criminal activities.

5:58    Comment From Iftekhar. Was it a mistake to recognize / keep the status of FATA as we got it in 1947?

6:01    Brigadier Saad Muhammad. It was certainly a huge error of judgement to ignore FATA for 64 years. The successive governments lacked the will, wisdom and vision to foresee the problem that we were creating for ourselves. Someone falters and posterity suffers.

6:02    Comment From Raza Wazir. Why are we so obsessed with Indian presence in Afghanistan? Why is Pakistan not allowing Indians to fund development projects in Afghanistan?

6:13    Brigadier Saad Muhammad.India is upto mischief inAfghanistan. However we need not be worried. We should have confidence in ourselves. If we only stop dictating foreign policy to Afghanistan they cannot ignore us or be unfriendly. They trade through Pakistan, get educated here get medical treatment here and enjoy living here too. So what’s the problem?

6:14    Comment From Iftekhar. But urban politics in Karachi is reactionary, how has it has prepared itself to keep that NW factor in check?

6:16    Brigadier Saad Muhammad. I have already replied to this.Karachi is far more complex than being affected by Waziristan alone. I have served in Karachi for 7 long years (1993-1999). It will require another sitting to discuss Karachi.

6:17    Comment From SHM. How influential is the Haqqani network in Pakistan and Afghanistan?

6:20    Brigadier Saad Muhammad. The Haqqani network has no interest in Pakistan. It uses it as a sanctuary and training area. InAfghanistan it operates in the provinces of Paktia, Paktika, Logar, Khowst and has the ability to hit Kabul city every now and then.

6:20    Comment From Awais Lodhi. What concrete steps is the US taking to remove the genuine threats that emanate from Afghanistan towards Pakistan i.e. the Indian presence in Afghanistan, the Pakhtunistan issue, drug smuggling, northern alliance and much more?

6:25    Brigadier Saad Muhammad. The Americans have over-militarized the counter insurgency efforts with no emphasis on the other facets. The Americans are of the view that if Pakistan is not making efforts to control the movement of insurgents into Afghanistan why should they do vice-versa. Regarding the Pakhtunistan issue it is more of a mythPakistan needs to ignore it, it simply does not exists.

6:25    Comment From Aqin Ansari. Why can’t Pakistan army with its huge force and sophisticated weaponry control the insurgency?

6:30     Brigadier Saad Muhammad. It is very difficult to control such a huge insurgency. The Pakistan Army is already stretched to the limit, also, the military instrument is one facet of counter insurgency. Our political government lacks the capacity and intellect to understand this. To eradicate this menace requires a comprehensive and integrated counter terrorism/insurgency policy. At the moment we have none.

6:32     Brigadier Saad Muhammad. The time for the live session is now over. Thank you for joining in.

Amid fear and apprehension

When the Chief of the Army Staff (COAS) General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani visited Chitral early last month, the local political leaders who spoke to him were unequivocal. “We put forward to him very simple demands: Regular army should not be deployed in Chitral; strength of the scouts should be increased; and gunship helicopters should be provided to them,” says Khursheed Ali Khan, a local politician who was part of the delegation which met the COAS.

Islam in the garrison

army person

On March 16, 2004, the Pakistan Army launched its first operation in South Waziristan tribal agency to weed out al-Qaeda and Taliban elements who had crossed into Pakistan after coming under American attacks in Afghanistan. General Pervez Musharraf, the then Chief of Army Staff (COAS) and the ruler of the country, held a series of meetings with his top commanders in the run-up to the operation and repeatedly asked them a single question. “Do you see any kind of reluctance among your soldiers to fire at the militants?” a participant of these meetings quotes him as asking.  “He was visibly worried. He wanted to be dead sure that he did not face any backlash from within the army as he sent it into the tribal areas,” says a retired military officer who worked closely with Musharraf during his tenure in the government.

The commanding officers told their chief that their men were all set to strike the militants. What transpired during the operation, however, must have surprised many of them. As the militants offered tough resistance to the Pakistan Army, in some cases paramilitary troops and army soldiers surrendered without a fight apparently in response to the calls from religious leaders in the tribal areas that the operation was meant for killing their own “Muslim brethren”.

In the three years between the maiden military operation in South Waziristan and Musharraf’s retirement as the army chief in November 2007, apprehensions and fears persisted among the military high command of a religious backlash from within the army, says the retired official. Not without a reason. On July 3, 2007 security agencies laid a siege around Lal Masjid in Islamabad where militants led by brothers Abdul Aziz and Abdul Rashid Ghazi were holed up. Senior security officials planned a commando operation (Operation Silence) – involving the breaching of the wall that the mosque shared with its adjacent Jamia Hafsa madrasah – to flush out the militants. But before the commandos could reach the wall from where the militants were firing, a Junior Commissioned Officer (JCO) of the army passed on the information about the operation to the militants. Consequently, the operation failed and led to loss of several lives (official figures account for the death of 62 people). The Military Intelligence arrested and interrogated the JCO who was then working as the driver of a senior military official. His investigators soon found out that he had sympathies for the militants. There have been many other incidents in which the military personnel either cooperated or collaborated with the militants to launch lethal terrorist attacks. The most well known of these are the attempts to assassinate Musharraf which he has described in detail in his autobiography In the Line of Fire and which resulted in the arrests, court martial and conviction of many low-ranking military officials.

With the arrest in May this year of Brigadier Ali Khan, who was working at a senior position at the General Headquarters (GHQ) in Rawalpindi, and four unnamed majors for having links with Hizbut Tahrir (HuT), a transnational extremist organisation banned in Pakistan, serious questions about the influence of religious ideologies in the army have risen again. The way the army’s public relations machine portrayed their case, laced with strong declarations of not tolerating any sectarian and radical ideologies among the soldiers and officers, is a clear manifestation that the worries about growing religious radicalisation in the armed forces are growing.

Publicly, security and intelligence officials tend to play down Khan’s arrest and HuT’s influence. They insist that a foreign ideology, a handful of disgruntled youth and poorly phrased political messages hardly create the mix that can pose a threat to a military machine overly obsessed with discipline within its ranks. They also argue that the HuT claims of having contacts with army officials should be taken with a pinch of salt. “When I was serving in the intelligence service I used to receive text messages from the HuT. Even now I continue to receive messages from them,” says a recently retired senior intelligence official. “Nobody takes them seriously,” he says. But Maajid Nawaz, a former HuT member, has a counterpoint to make. “The HuT doesn’t pose any threat in itself because it is a very small organisation. The danger emanates from the fact that extremist narrative is getting very popular in Pakistani society,” he says. (See Brothers in Religion)

An intelligence expert who spoke to the Herald on the condition of anonymity, also says there is more to Khan’s arrest than is known in the media. “After his arrest, Khan was handed over to the Special Investigation Branch which investigates crimes and other unlawful activities in the army. This indicates that the investigators want to uncover all his contacts within the army.” Even though implicitly, this shows that the army is unsure about the depth of the HuT’s influence in its ranks.

Independent analysts have more often than not pointed out that religious influence in the military is more deep-rooted than the high command is willing to acknowledge. Islamabad-based writer and commentator Dr Ayesha Siddiqa says Pakistan’s military revolves around the idea of religion just like the Pakistani state. It is false to claim that the military can be secular because the state itself is not secular, she argues. According to Dr Hasan-Askari Rizvi, a Lahore-based historian of civil-military relations in Pakistan, Islamic discourse has been popular among the soldiers for decades. “This discourse creates a situation where everything becomes a function of religion … You explain every situation with reference to Islam,” he says. “You start thinking that there is a conspiracy against Islam and that there is a conspiracy against Pakistan hatched by Jews, Christians and Hindus …You start sympathising with the Taliban.”

The process of introducing this Islamist discourse in the army began in earnest during the military regime of General Ziaul Haq. He relaxed the strict rules governing the garrison’s interaction with the civilians and, thus, made the soldiers highly susceptible to extremist influence pervading the society. His greatest contribution in this regard was to encourage the activities of the Tableeghi Jamaat (TJ), both by allowing the organisation to send its missionaries to the military barracks and encouraging the soldiers and officers to attend its congregations outside garrisons, says Rizvi.

Brigadier (retd) Mehmud Shah, a defence analyst based in Peshawar, agrees. Radicalisation in the armed forces grew under Zia’s regime when the military ruler put into motion his controversial Islamisation programme, he says. (See Brothers in Religion). Zia became the first COAS to attend the annual congregation of TJ in Raiwind near Lahore. Encouraged by their chief, a large number of officers openly associated themselves with the activities of this purely religious organisation. During Zia’s tenure as the army chief, it was not unusual for visibly devout military officials to take leave from their duties and participate in Jamaat’s preaching missions. The other major Zia era development was the setting up of central mosques in garrisons. According to Shah, there was no central mosque in the entire Kharian Cantonment by 1975.

To designate Zia as the only one responsible for putting the military on the path of Islamisation would be too simplistic even though nothing can undermine his role in the process. There were other forces influencing the military and shaping the minds of its troops. Analysts point out, for instance, that several army officers posted to the Arab states around the Persian Gulf in 1970s and 1980s came back heavily influenced by an orthodox interpretation of Islam. They invariably rose to occupy prominent positions in the military hierarchy under Zia. Many more officers came under religious influence as they worked directly with Islamic-inspired mujahideen fighting in Afghanistan against Soviet-backed communists. Analysts say the Afghan jihad became a source of inspiration for young army officers who saw it as a victory of Islam against an infidel superpower. Along with the 1979 revolution in Iran which was led by religious leaders, these developments deepened religious influence among the Pakistan Army’s officer corps.

This coincided with another shift. “The urban middle classes replaced the so-called martial races of Punjab in the officer corps after the defeat in the 1971 war. By the mid-1980s urban middle classes were dominating the army,” says Saeed Shafqat, an eminent analyst of civil-military relations in Pakistan. The 1971 defeat had a heavy impact on the soldiers and officers and it continued to resonate within the military’s educational and training institutions for many years afterwards. The belief that we were defeated in the war because we were not good Muslims was widespread, says Shafqat. “Islam started to dominate the training and educational activities in the military after 1971,” he adds.

All this led to an upsurge in religious activities within the army. Brigadier (retd) Asad Munir, a former member of the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) who was a major when Zia was in power, divides these activities into three broad categories. Individual officers used to organise zikr meetings, TJ was active in garrisons and the sympathisers of Jamaat-e-Islami (JI) were also engaged in promoting their views in the army, he says. Anecdotal evidence suggests that the writings of JI’s founder Maulana Maudoodi, such as his interpretation of the Quran, started to circulate in army-run educational institutions and many officers began to openly express their support for JI’s ideology. (See Brothers in Religion)

Shah narrates how sometimes the military’s resources were used to facilitate the soldiers and officers in their religious pursuits. “In 1997, I was posted as commandant of [the army’s] Junior Leaders Academy in Shinkiari. One day an officer came to me and said his staff wanted to offer their Friday prayers at a gathering arranged by TJ and they wanted to use the institute’s bus to travel to the gathering’s venue. I told them whoever wanted to go could go on his own but no official vehicle would be used for traveling.”

Zia’s immediate successor as army chief, General Mirza Aslam Beg, continued these policies, Rizvi points out. When General Asif Nawaz Janjua took over as the COAS in 1991, he tried to put an end to the official sponsorship of religious activities in garrisons. “He introduced changes in the functioning of the army. He spoke about reviving professionalism in the army,” says Rizvi. But those who followed Janjua did not make any serious attempt for the revival of professionalism.

Askari cites two reasons for the inability of the army chiefs to reduce, let alone reverse, religious influence in garrisons. “The military top brass spent most of the 1990s manipulating political developments from behind the scenes and hardly had time needed to understand the impact of rising Islamisation within the soldiers and officers,” he says. Secondly, successive army chiefs believed that purging the army of officers and soldiers with strong religious leanings would led to a strong reaction from within the army and the religious parties. “For instance, when the army arrested some senior and middle-ranking officers for trying to stage a coup in 1995, JI raised a lot of hue and cry in the media that Islamists were being targeted in the army,” says Rizvi. That aborted coup is often described as the single most significant Islamist-inspired attempt to eliminate the political and military leadership of the country and takeover the government. (See Timeline of Trouble)

Around the same time that the coup was being planned, the Taliban emerged in Afghanistan. With their brutal diktats, they created a peace of the graveyard in that country but it came as a relief for its war-weary citizens. They also inspired many officers of the Pakistan Army, the likes of well-publicised Colonel Imam, who would always give the Taliban credit for eradicating poppy cultivation, restoring peace and implementing sharia.

General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, the incumbent COAS, has, like Janjua before him, discouraged the activities of religious organisations within garrisons. “There can be only one cult in the army and that is the cult of the army itself,” says a senior military official, on the condition of anonymity.  But so far Kayani has had little success in his endeavours. If anything, religiosity has sharply increased in garrisons in tandem with increased religiosity in the society in general — and this is throwing up some potentially destabilising by-products.

According to Siddiqa, religiosity in the armed forces has assumed three different forms as suspicions about the outside world in general and the west in particular grow stronger among Pakistanis: a general inclination towards religion; an active radicalism espoused, for instance, by officers such as former ISI chiefs Javed Nasir and Hameed Gul; and anti-American nationalism of the likes of Shuja Pasha, the current ISI chief. In other words, the manifestations of religiosity have become so variegated and so strongly linked to the national and international politics of the day that there can be no single or simple method to do something about them.

Rizvi points to another potentially dangerous development. The influence of religious organisations, once allowed to operate freely within garrisons, has now crossed the boundaries of “safe preaching”, he says. It is possible for the militants to find and meet military officials receptive to their ideas at the gatherings of TJ, he argues.

Some retired military officials strongly advocate that the only way that the army could reduce the influence of religion among its rank and file is to pursue a policy of gradually phasing out officers and soldiers known for their religious links and given to overtly displaying their piety. This is how the generation of the officers influenced by the Afghan jihad was phased out. The same should continue for the current crop of religion-inspired officers, Shah argues.

In Rizvi’s opinion, this policy, on its own, is not the solution. He says there exists a worrying tendency among retired army officers to influence the thinking of young officers. “I have met some retired army officers who have become Taliban supporters. When they interact with serving officials, they transfer the germs of extremism and anti-Americanism as well as sympathy for Taliban.” But Rizvi’s own solution also sounds rather simplistic: “Rules governing the interaction between the civilians and the army men should be strictly implemented and intelligence reports should reflect the correct situation in the units. This will rectify the situation.”

— Additional reporting by Mohammad Ali Khan and Idrees Bakhtiar