Journal observations

Monday

Dear Diary, the elections are less than a month away and there’s still so much to do. Candidates need manicures, pedicures, hair treatments, facials, we want them looking their best for the big day, salons have been booked all across the country and I have my own appointment today for smoothing out these wrinkles.

I have the Chief Justice of Pakistan on speed dial, we text frequently, in the evenings we call each other and talk about our days, I love his ring tone, that old Kishore number Mein Hun Don.

He thinks the election commission is doing a fantastic job, I’m not sure what we’re doing yet but all the files that come through are very neat and tidy, with hardly any ink or dust on them. At this age, I can’t take dust very well. My eyes get watery and I have difficulty breathing when my lungs fall out from all the coughing.

Tuesday

Trying to eliminate duplicitous voting. In the last elections, a single man cast 2,546 votes across seven different constituencies, a man who’d been dead 15 years and was buried somewhere in England. This was unacceptable, if you’re not allowed to vote from overseas, you’re definitely not allowed to vote from the afterlife.

The Returning Officers (RO) have been directed to take the pulse of all election candidates too and ask questions to determine the extent of their religious knowledge, mainly if they can recite verses from the Quran. Since the ROs don’t know the Quran themselves, the official directive states that if it sounds vaguely like Arabic, it’s dandy.

Wednesday

Two candidates were disqualified today for wearing pants instead of a Thawb, another one for not owning enough camels. There was also an industrialist who’s never been on Hajj, an agriculturist who can’t count to 100 in Arabic, and a PhD in economics who doesn’t know which hand to wash first in ablution. Hopeless!

The wife came in to my office later and was adamant that I approve the nomination papers of her cousin’s daughter’s husband’s father-in-law’s wife, which turned out to be the cousin herself, which made things awkward as she was standing right next to my wife when I said no. I can’t just approve any nominations — besides, I’ve run out of official stamps.

Thursday

These politicians sure paid a lot of taxes this year; I think we should have elections every year.

Somewhere in the Punjab the leader of a banned militant outfit had his nomination papers approved. I was asked to investigate the travesty. I’ve talked to some people, the mistake will soon be rectified and the ban lifted.

Sometimes, when my children put their false teeth in before dinner, it hits me that I am in fact much older than this country. It gives me a strange feeling. I immediately take two tablets and lay down until it goes away.

Friday

The ROs are getting anxious, one of the candidates put their own questions back to them; it took five hours of Googling for them to say, “We’re not obligated to answer you”.

There are not enough good-natured and honest people in this country to fill up the candidatures. I think we might have to import some from other countries. I have discussed the possibility with my driver, which was a fairly pointless thing to do since he has no say in the matter.

Saturday

Some of the ROs had the candidates do their kids’ homework. Most of them managed well, but the algebra questions really put them off.

Sunday

Still in pursuit of the perfect candidate. We had a full staff meeting today about introducing requirements about height and weight. How can anyone be a political representative if they can’t even reach the mike in the assembly?

The Chief Justice asked how things were going regarding articles 62/63. I told him not to worry, we already had two Sadiqs working as stenos in the office, and we were looking into hiring Amins.

Politicians’ profiles

Our May issue includes profiles of some of the leading politicians of the country, including Nawaz Sharif by Asha’ar Rehman, Imran Khan by Zahra Sabri, Bilawal Bhutto by Muhammad Badar Alam and many others.

Journal observations

Dear Diary, today is the 91st day of my prime ministership. Time magazine has declared me Person of the Year, Foreign Policy calls me “Pakistan’s Nostradamus”, and Newsweek wishes I could run for the presidency of the US.

All in due time, I told Newsweek. But I am happy that, at the prime of my political career, the world has finally recognised the awesomeness that is me.

As I had predicted, the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) did sweep the elections — the patwaris were simply washed away in the tsunami. My Tsunami. Today, the national and provincial assemblies only have PTI, and no other political party. Not surprising, if you ask me. If the results had been any different, the elections would certainly have been rigged.

The so-called liberal “analysts” were bowled out — what they thought would be an analytical half-volley turned out to be a toe-crushing yorker. These drone-loving fake liberals could never tolerate my genuinely liberal greatness, because I am so much better than them in both soorat as well as seerat.

“How would you now finish corruption and terrorism in 90 days?” they asked. “Are you going to do a military operation in Waziristan?” A resounding NO was my reply, dear Diary, because only fake liberals support military operations and I am the only real liberal in this country; Mashallah, that is.

But let me tell you, dear Diary, the Tiger of Mianwali was actually a little worried. Even though I knew that I can never be wrong. I mean, if Imran Khan has said that the Taliban would be taken care of in 90 days, then they will be taken care of in 90 days. After all, who can forget that it was I who had predicted Pakistan’s win in the 1992 World Cup?

One day, as I was contemplating my options, an owl came out of nowhere and landed on my shoulder. Yes, dear Diary, an owl! But this was no ordinary owl. This one had flown all the way from Hogwarts and was carrying a message.

Harry Potter wanted to meet me.

The following day Harry arrived in Bani Gala, riding a broomstick (not kidding)! He told me that during the Triwizard Tournament, when he was listening to the golden egg underwater, he had actually heard the song “Dil nek ho, Niyat saaf, To ho insaf, Kahe Imraaaan Khan!!”. He didn’t disclose this earlier because he was afraid of the Jewish lobby. But now after Voldemort’s death — Yes, dear diary! I am not afraid to say his name — Voldemort, Voldemort, VOLDEMORT!! But anyway, as I was saying, with the death of Voldemort, the Jewish lobby has weakened, and thus Harry decided to make things public.

The next week we called a huge press conference. Well, ‘huge’ would be an understatement, dear Diary, as it was not a press conference, but a press tsunami. Well not even a tsunami; I would rather call it a TSUNAMA! From Roznama Surkhab to The New York Times to the Daily Prophet, everyone was there.

The seating arrangement for the Tsunama conference raised a lot of suspense — we had placed the journalists in the middle, while a huge fenced enclosure was erected to their left, and a dozen empty shipping containers were parked to their right.

I initiated the proceedings and officially asked Harry to rid Pakistan of terrorism. In response, Harry took out his wand and shouted, “Accio Taliban! Bad ones only!” Suddenly the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakitan (TTP) started dropping from the sky and into the fenced enclosure. The army jawans surrounding the fence shouted ‘Hands up!’, and thus the formidable TTP was taken into custody without even a single bullet being fired…! Take that, Najam Sethi!

I then asked Harry to help return the billions looted by corrupt politicians. Again Harry waved his wand and shouted, “Accio Swiss Accounts! Politicians only!” And suddenly the parked containers became full with dollars. They say Zardari was watching it live and had a heart attack when he saw that. I pray for his recovery.

With this done, Harry broke his wand into two and embraced Islam at the hands of Junaid Jamshed. He has been renamed Haris Puttar and is now a member of the Tableeghi Jamaat as well as the PTI.

And this is how I fulfilled my promise to eliminate corruption and terrorism from Pakistan within 90 days.

But that’s not the end, dear Diary, as there are drones to deal with as well. Luckily Superman has also joined our cause. Apparently when he was flying by the moon he heard the chant “Kaun bachaae ga, Pakistan? Imraaan Khan!! Imraaan Khan!!” He said he wants to help us take down the drones. Let’s see how that one goes.

Forum: Manifesto Talk

Left to right: Ayaz Amir; Haris Khalique; Amit Baruah

Left to right: Ayaz Amir; Haris Khalique; Amit Baruah

All major political parties have publicised their manifestos for the election 2013. These manifestos express and articulate their respective ideologies, programmes and policies and they differ from one another both in focus and detail.

The Herald invited three experts to discuss the need and impact of party manifestos. The panel included Amit Baruah who has reported for the respected Indian daily The Hindu from Islamabad and headed BBC Hindi Service. The second panelist was Ayaz Amir, a leading Pakistani journalist and columnist and a member of the outgoing National Assembly. The third member of the panel was columnist, analyst and poet Harris Khalique who has also contributed to the latest manifesto of a major political party.

Herald: Is there a difference between campaign slogans and party manifestos?

Amit Baruah: Yes, there is a difference. Parties tend to be more formal in their manifestos and catchier in their slogans.

Harris Khalique: Slogans are [created] to catch people’s attention. A manifesto is a road map; it is more of a policy document. Sloganeering takes place [both] in highly literate societies as well as in countries with poor literacy rate where slogans become even more important: “Roti, kapra aur makaan; maang raha hai har insaan (Everyone is asking for a square meal, clothes and a house)” — this has remained the same for the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) from Zulfikar Ali Bhutto to Benazir Bhutto [but other slogans have changed]. When General Ziaul Haq deleted the PPP’s election symbol – the sword – from the election symbol list, the arrow became the election symbol for Benazir Bhutto and the PPP. In Sindh, a new slogan was coined — “Nah meer ke nah peer ke; vote Benazir ke; vote saare teer ke (neither for the mirs nor for the pirs; our votes are for Benazir; our votes are all for the teer (arrow).”

Baruah. Indira Gandhi’s slogan when she returned to power in 1980 was “Nah jaat par, nah paat par; Indira ki baat par; muhr lagegi haath par (neither on the basis of caste nor for breed; our votes are for Indira’s word; we shall put the stamp on [vote for] the hand [the Congress’ election symbol]”. It was quite effective! I wonder whether in the internet age, slogans will have to be different.

Khalique. Language and rhyming continue to catch the imagination, even in the internet age. The internet is just another medium in that respect.

 

Herald. Do you think slogans won’t change at all for social media campaigns?

Khalique. Well, they may but they haven’t yet. Look, for instance, at the Insha Allah Naya Pakistan song sung by Salman Ahmad and Junaid Jamshed for the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI).

Baruah. I think that the link between social media and the real world – on-the-ground – campaigning still needs to be established. In societies where literacy and internet penetration is low, real slogans of the kind mentioned above will still be important. We can see in India, for instance, that some politicians are using social media, but given the literacy levels, getting people out for a political rally can’t be done through Twitter and Facebook. I also wonder if there will be extensive use of social media for the May 11 election in Pakistan.

Khalique. Yes, there will be, because both our countries have huge populations. Even the middle class sections of society using social media include millions. Those in the diaspora also get equally involved in Pakistani politics, and many of them use social media.

Baruah. I totally agree. As we can see in Bangladesh currently, social media in urban spaces will be actively used and politicians and parties will have to become social media savvy.

 

Herald. Political parties have the tendency to overcommit themselves in their manifestos and campaign slogans. Isn’t it counterproductive for politicians and political parties to overcommit when it widens the gap between what they promise and their eventual performance, thereby endangering their future electoral prospects?

Baruah. Well, this is an issue endemic to the whole of South Asia: there are actually yawning gaps between what parties promise and what they deliver. The real issues facing people most often take a back seat. In South Asia, there is a definite tendency to promise the moon to the electorate — this is the nature of our political parties.

Khalique. Slogans are always exaggerated. The problem is when a serious commitment made in a manifesto is not realised. We, however, must consider that parties make their manifestos as singular outfits. But when they come to power in large, complicated countries, they work in coalitions. For a third-world country, things change quickly. Parties, therefore, argue that they could only fully implement their manifestos if they sweep the polls.

 

Herald. Do manifestos even matter when politics is completely dominated by personalities in South Asia in general and Pakistan in particular?

Baruah. Well, even personalities have to come out with a manifesto — a minimum programme of sorts, if you like. And the party in power should have something to show to have a chance of re-election. One thing that we must also consider in the South Asian context is the role of families – or dynasties – in our elections where the family is the manifesto.

Khalique. Manifestos matter. Personalities symbolise a certain thinking, sensitivity, slant and world view. People see them as icons. One will choose a personality to follow if one has a similar if not the same understanding of how things should be and how political, economic and social decisions are made. Have you ever heard of a political party contesting polls without a manifesto? A leader becomes popular because of a shared world view — be it clear or confused. Besides, you could hold a party responsible against its manifesto if it has been in power.

Herald. What makes certain political dynasties click with voters better than others? Is it what they stand for? Or do they receive votes because of who they are?

Baruah. We have many political dynasties in South Asia — the Bandaranaikes in Sri Lanka, the Nehru-Gandhis in India, the Bhuttos in Pakistan. Dynasties also have to be clever. They must be able to measure the pulse of the people and know what the electorate wants.

Khalique. The Nehru-Gandhi dynasty is more of a strip tied around the wild bouquet of the Congress party now. In Pakistan, no Bhutto [family member] is actually ruling at the moment, if you follow the patriarchal definition of the family. But they or those closely related to them will still have influence in Pakistan. However, just think about it — if Bilawal Bhutto Zardari begins to raise conservative, right-wing slogans, will those who follow the Bhuttos continue to follow him?

 

Herald. Who reads manifestos? Do voters read them? Voters are always in millions and no party can print millions of copies of their manifesto…

Khalique. Of course, not everybody reads manifestos. But slogans derived out of the manifestos are heard by all. Many would read the gist in newspapers or listen to the key points through the electronic media. The summaries of both the PPP and PMLN manifestos appeared on the front pages of all Urdu, English and Sindhi newspapers.

Baruah. Even in India, no one reads the fine print of manifestos; only journalists and other politicians do.

 

Herald. Mr Amir, from your experience of canvassing for an election, do you think voters are attracted to manifestos? Or are they attracted to something else, such as the personality of the leader or candidate?

Ayaz Amir. In all the elections I have contested, no one has ever asked me ‘what is your manifesto’? Manifestos are read only if dramatically written; otherwise, they go into the trash can. Voters are definitely not attracted to manifestos; other things matter now. The last time anyone was interested in a manifesto was in 1967-1968 — the PPP manifesto which still resonates [in the political sphere].

 

Herald. So you think that manifestos are simply a legacy of the past?

Amir. No, they can still matter and turn people’s head if written like, say, The Communist Manifesto. Now that was some writing.

Khalique. What will you hold the party accountable for if there is no manifesto? Nobody in Mr Ayaz’s constituency may have asked about his personal manifesto but he did run for a party and the party had one.

Amir. There is a perception about parties and that matters. Parties in Pakistan stopped being literate a long time ago.

Baruah. Manifestos are also important to differentiate one party from another. n

To join future live discussions, log on to herald.dawn.com

The numbers game

For a number of reasons, the May election is trickiest to predict and also, perhaps, most difficult to categorise as a contest along traditional ideological fault lines of right wing versus the left wing and everyone in between the two. In the coming election, the avowedly religious political parties are not campaigning on an agenda of Islam versus the West (as the case was in 2002) or Islam versus capitalism and socialism (as the case has always been in Pakistan since 1970s); the party that has its origin in Muslim identity in the undivided subcontinent is trying to sell a worldly (economic) rather than an other-worldly (religious) vision to the voters; the party that seeks its rationale in the need for justice hardly speaks about creating economic justice between different classes and sociocultural and religious justice among various communities; the party that once stood for a Pakistani version of socialism is busy trying to win power back through a patchwork of deals, adjustments and compromises.

The fight to the finish is all about numbers — the winning number, the losing numbers, the numbers that may keep a party in the hunt even after it loses the election, and those that can prevent the rivals from coming into power even when they have come ahead of everyone else.

Ambition, love and loss in an unforgiving world

At the recent Lahore Literary Festival, as Mohsin Hamid appeared on stage to talk about his new novel he was greeted like a rock star by a standing room only crowd. He spoke with passion of his writing, and the affection he had for his craft was so apparent that the audience cheered and applauded his every word.

One young male member of the audience affirmed an anecdote that the author related about having inspired some young men to move to Lahore from one of Punjab’s small towns upon their having read his first novel Moth Smoke, by saying that he too had done the same. Not surprising, since that novel had evoked so brilliantly the lure of, and the temptations that, Lahore had to offer to a young man, who not-so-unwittingly finds himself pushed to the dark side.

Forum: Ethnicity talk

Mushtaq Gaadi; Asad Farooq; Anwar Shah

Mushtaq Gaadi; Asad Farooq; Anwar Shah

Over the last few years, demands for carving new provinces out of the existing four have been a regular part of the national political discourse. There is widespread and continued disagreement among political parties and intelligentsia over whether ethnicity, language and culture should be the basis for new provinces or should administrative efficiencies be taken into account first and foremost while deciding about dividing the existing ones. A multiparty parliamentary commission has meanwhile recommended the creation of what it calls Bahawalpur Janoobi Punjab province. The proposed province will consist of Multan, Dera Ghazi Khan and Bahwalpur divisions as well as Mianwali and Bhakkar districts and most of its residents will be Seraiki speakers.

To discuss the pros and cons of the commission’s recommendations, the Herald invited Anwar Shah, an expert on federalism who works with the World Bank, Asad Farooq a teacher of law at the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS) who has worked extensively on socio-economic subjects in southern Punjab, and Mushtaq Gaadi who teaches at the Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, and has a family history of activism on Seraiki causes.

Herald. Do you think the proposed name, Bahawalpur Janoobi Punjab, captures the essence of the demand for a new province?
Mushtaq Gaadi. It is rather contrary to the claim of recognising a linguistic identity which is the basis for the struggle for regional autonomy [in southern Punjab]. But the course of recognition has two aspects. One is self-identification while the other concerns recognition by others. At the moment, the parliamentarians are probably concerned with how [the Seraiki self-recognition] is acceptable to others in the present situation.
The success of the Seraiki movement depends on the survival of parliamentary democracy. If democracy persists, it would not be possible for any mainstream political party to ignore its demands.
Asad Farooq. Subjective factors – the consciousness of a national identity – do not emerge from out of the blue. They are the results of certain historical and contemporary conditions — of persecution, of oppression etc. We must examine the nature of marginalisation – or the peripheralisation – of those parts of the country in which Seraiki-speakers are dominant [to understand the demand for a new province].
Anwar Shah. The name does not capture the linguistic and cultural identity of a population seeking autonomy. But I have a different take on whether there should be a new province. Pakistan is an unbalanced federation with one dominant unit — Punjab. It is, therefore, by its nature an unstable system. One solution is to create new provinces but this will not solve the problems of dysfunctional governance. With feudal, industrial and military elites dominating the political system, it may instead yield a Leviathan form of governance comprising costly and massive bureaucratic and political structures with little to show for service delivery to people. What Pakistan needs is to think about a governance system that delivers services consistent with people’s preferences but also cost-effectively. In achieving this, provinces, as currently constituted, are part of the problem rather than the solution.
To serve people and to be accountable to them, a country needs to have empowered local governments with all service delivery responsibilities. Good examples of this are China, South Korea, Denmark, Finland and Sweden where local governments are responsible for two-thirds of government spending. Such an arrangement would diffuse ethnic and linguistic tensions and at the same time reduce government costs of unnecessary bureaucracies.

Herald. Besides linguistic identity, what are the political, administrative and financial reasons for the division of Punjab? For instance, the parliamentary commission’s proceedings show that southern districts of Punjab are not getting a fair share in revenue distribution, job quotas and development schemes…
Gaadi. We cannot disentangle the question of identity/recognition from the spheres of politics, governance, economic deprivation etc. They are co-constituted and must be taken into account.
Farooq. An indisputable factor in keeping some parts of Punjab as privileged and others as marginalised is the continuation of extractive and accumulating practices – including land grabbing and resettlement of Punjabis in southern Punjab – first set in motion by the colonial rulers. It remains important that we locate the debate on the new province in terms of material realities such as control over resources, land and resettlement of a large number of Punjabis in areas such as Bahawalpur division.

Herald. Do you think that the parliamentary commission has been responsive to the linguistic and cultural questions as opposed to economic and administrative ones?
Gaadi. The proposed province half satisfies the demand for a linguistic province. Although the parliamentarians have not considered naming it ‘Seraiki’ province, most of the Seraiki areas are included in the proposed new unit. We should also note that the demand for Bahawalpur [as a separate] province has not been entertained, which testifies to the underlying principle of creating one linguistic province.

Herald. A new province requires changes in the National Finance Commission award, job quotas, river water distribution and representation in the Senate. Will these changes create more interprovincial problems and conflicts than they will resolve?
Farooq. The possibility of problems and conflicts is not a sufficient cause to not address the real grievances of the marginalised communities.
Shah. Yes, the 18th Amendment has also created incentives for such conflicts to be accentuated with provincial governments having the power to discriminate against non-residents and provinces enjoying wider regulatory powers in food, drugs and interprovincial trade. I think it is a bad policy to create barriers to trade and movement of human and material resources [among the federating units]. There is significant evidence from countries across the world showing that protectionism leads to lower growth in the protected regions.
Gaadi. I don’t agree. A new province will not only help reduce the ethnic hegemony of Punjab but it can also create some kind of balance of power between the federating units.

Herald. How will the proposed province generate revenue to meet its development and financial needs?
Shah. All provinces in Pakistan are heavily dependent on transfers of money from the federal government and the Seraiki province will be no exception. In Pakistan, the provinces receive these transfers as manna from heaven without any accountability to their own residents or to anyone else.

Syed Ghazenfur. Will the division of Punjab on the basis of Seraiki identity redirect state resources from particular interest groups, such as the landed class and state institutions, towards popular welfare and redistribution?
Shah. No. [Divisions] lead to further deprivation of the disadvantaged regions [by creating barriers on the movement of resources] in federations where the federal structure is dominated by certain interests and hegemonic ideas and institutions. Considering that there are ethnic tensions and regional disparities in Pakistan, I don’t think that barriers against the movement of resources will reduce the politics of deprivation in certain areas.

Syed Ghazenfur. Do you think that local government reforms, with fiscal and administrative autonomy, would overcome the problems of exploitation without a new province?
Shah. It is important to protect the aspirations of the Seraiki identity. My plea is to rethink federal governance in its entirety — which in Pakistan proves to be a highly costly option with little benefits to the citizens. Pakistan needs a federalism of regional/local governments where there is home rule at the local level and local governments have oversight responsibilities for regional and national governments in their own area.
My understanding is that feudal politics dominates in the Seraiki region. The new province will entrench the powers of these influential politicians further. No remedy is being provided to ensure that the interest of the common man will be served by the ruling elite and that the elite will be held accountable by the common man. Needless to say, a similar situation prevails in the existing provinces.
If we focus on creating accountable, decentralised local governance, we can overcome our divisive politics and focus on improving economic and social outcomes for Pakistani citizens. We now have a country which can neither guarantee the security of life and property of its citizens nor ensure the protection of minorities and disadvantaged groups. This calls for a more radical reform of public governance than simply tinkering with the existing system by creating a few more provinces.
I am struck by the parochialism of the current debate [on the new province] focusing on governmental structures as an end in themselves rather than as a means to achieving an end while completely ignoring the objectives of improving service delivery and economic and social advancement. We have bloated federal and provincial governance and non-existent local governance in Pakistan but this does not seem to be an area of concern within the current debate.
Gaadi. After the creation of the new province, it would be easier for the working classes and marginalised groups in the Seraiki region to demand further democratisation and redistribution of resources.
Secondly, we also need to recognise the potential of the Seraiki identity in terms of a decolonisation process. The radical questions being posed with reference to linguistic and historical identities can lead to a new imagination of nation, state, region, etc.
Farooq. The obsession with geographies and boundaries inherent in the modernist polity can be re-articulated in new and innovative ways — a re-imagination that should emerge from the grassroots level and not from a pre-defined policy/cost/market agenda which has failed here and elsewhere. The potential to rethink politics that presents itself in the Seraiki provincial question is one that we cannot miss – not in terms of federalism and cost-effectiveness, market, or otherwise – but in terms of opening up real political spaces in which people are able to articulate demands and claims.
It seems that there are preconceptions about the ‘right’ type of devolution to address the question of marginalised communities but it is important to acknowledge the fact that any reformulation of local governance must emanate from the peoples’ demands and concerns.

Guest. In a recent decision, the Lahore High Court has ruled against the creation of new provinces by the current parliament. Is the court ruling in accordance with constitutional and legal precedents?
Farooq. Certainly not. The Lahore High Court argued for the implementation of a convention of British Constitutional Law that says political parties should contest elections on any major constitutional change [before bringing about that change]. The use of this convention in Pakistan is tenuous — in fact, the Supreme Court has clearly stressed the need for re-evaluating largely colonial paradigms of governing.
Gaadi. The proceedings on the issue of new provinces in the Lahore High Court exemplify increasing judicialisation of politics. The new province is purely a political and parliamentary issue. Any judicial review in this regard is actually an encroachment over parliamentary sovereignty.

— To join future live discussions, log on to herald.dawn.com

Live discussion on party manifestos

Are party manifestos addressed to voters?

On March 7 the Pakistan Muslim League- Nawaz launched its manifesto in which the focus lay on putting the economy back on track. A week later the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) launched their 75-page document which was based on the Bhutto legacy and the PPP’s image as the sole national party. Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf is set to unveil its manifesto on March 23. But who are these manifestos addressed to?

On March 21, 2013, at 7 pm, the Herald has invited three experts to discuss whether party manifestos are aimed at attracting voters or if they are just designed for consumption by the civil society and the media?

amit-baruaha

Amit Baruah is the author of Dateline Islamabad. He has previously served as the head of BBC Hindi and has been the Pakistan correspondent The Hindu, an Indian newspaper.

AyazAmir

Ayaz Amir is a leading Pakistani journalist, columnist and politician. He was a member of National Assembly of Pakistan from 2008-2013.

haris-2

Harris Khalique is an independent columnist and intellectual who has a keen interest in social democratic politics. He is based in Islamabad.

Should voting be made mandatory?

voters-detailed

Is voting a right or a responsibility? In January this year, while hearing a petition pertaining to electoral reforms, the Supreme Court remarked that it would be commendable if the government made it incumbent on all eligible citizens to cast their votes in the upcoming election. Responding to these remarks, Attorney General of Pakistan (AGP) Irfan Qadir argued that while voting was the right of every citizen, the option of not voting was also in itself a right. Early last month, however, when the Election Commission of Pakistan sent a set of proposed electoral reforms to the law ministry, it included the Supreme Court’s observation that steps be taken to make voting legally binding.

The way of the world

The Supreme Court’s observation is neither novel nor new. In Athenian democracy, which was based on the idea that every citizen must partake in decision-making, punitive measures were sometimes taken against those who didn’t attend the assembly. A Greek comedy by Aristophanes depicts slaves herding Athenians into the assembly meeting-place using a rope stained with red; those whose clothes bore red marks – indicating that they had to be coerced – would be punished.

As pointed out by AGP Qadir in his response to the Supreme Court, at present, voting is mandatory in only a few countries, excluding the United States, Canada and majority of European nations. Indeed, it appears that only 31 countries – out of the slightly-less-than-200 in the world – currently have compulsory voting systems; of these, approximately a dozen or so actually make an effort to enforce it. In Belgium, which has the oldest arrangement of this kind, people who do not vote may find themselves slapped with a fine; if they abstain from voting in at least four elections, they may lose their right to vote for the next 10 years. In Bolivia, a non-voter may be barred from withdrawing his or her salary from the bank for three months. And in Brazil, non-voters may be deprived of a passport until they vote in the two following elections. But in a country like Pakistan, such measures may encounter hurdles of feasibility – many citizens, particularly women in rural areas, do not possess national identity cards, which are required to cast one’s vote – as well as implementability.

Tricky technicalities

The measures to implement mandatory voting, however, need not necessarily be elaborate; as proponents of paternalism often argue, a simple ‘nudge’ might sometimes suffice but the dividends could be immense. According to political scientist Arend Lijphart, mandatory voting has been found to lead to an increase of seven to 16 per cent in voter turnout in national elections — even when the penalties for not voting were extremely low, such as a very small fine. This could potentially be a game-changer in a country with plummeting rates of voter turnout; during the 2008 general election, for instance, barely 44 per cent of registered voters in Pakistan turned out to cast their votes. Moreover, it is argued that after the introduction of mandatory voting, the funds currently required to coax voters to the polls could be diverted elsewhere. Indeed, supporters maintain, an election under the system of compulsory voting better reflects the collective will of the people — as opposed to which party was able to goad voters to cast their ballots on election day. Critics argue, however, that those voting under compulsion may not necessarily make informed choices, citing the ‘donkey vote’ phenomenon whereby voters merely tick the first candidate’s name on a list.

AGP Qadir’s initial argument also holds merit, however. Compulsory voting is, in essence, a ‘compelled speech act’: just as freedom of speech guarantees the right to not speak, the decision to not vote also ought to be guaranteed. And indeed, the fact that 56 per cent of eligible voters chose not to exercise their right to choose their representatives should serve as a wake-up call for current politicians, to devise new ways of rousing an ostensibly apathetic electorate.

Sources: Media reports and Unequal Participation: Democracy’s Unresolved Dilemma by Arend Lijphart